A sum of £50,000 invested in the buy to let property in the North East of England in 1996 would be worth nearly £6.3m today, £1.6m more than if the same amount had been invested in London.
According to a report by Hamptons International, the North East has emerged as the fastest place for buy to let investors to grow the most valuable portfolios due to the power of higher rental yields, which accounted for 61% of returns over the past 25 years.
These figures assume that all price growth and rental income (after mortgage interest, maintenance costs and tax) was reinvested back into the portfolio, and that the investment was made as a limited company, with all prices adjusted for inflation. The calculations also assume that equity derived from rising prices is extracted, taxed and then reinvested. This means the loan-to-value of each property in the portfolio – essentially how much the mortgage borrowing is in relation to the property value – never falls below 75%, even if house prices have gone up.
Someone who invested £50,000 in buy to let property across Northern England in 1996 would currently have a portfolio worth nearly £5.2m, or if they’d invested the same amount in London 25 years ago, a portfolio worth £4.7m.
“The stark difference in returns across the country is a product of the house price cycle and the point at which the landlord bought – the results would look different for someone who invested a year earlier or later,” the report said.
“An investor who timed the cycle perfectly over the last 25 years, always investing in the fastest growing regions, would see double the average return compared to someone who invested in the slowest areas. In 2016, the values of portfolios in London and the North East were about the same, but, over the last five years, faster price growth and higher yields pushed up returns further North.”
Price growth has been magnified by buy to let mortgage leverage, which essentially means investors have been able to reap the benefits of growth on a value which is several times the size of their initial deposit.
The report said: “The scale of returns seen here wouldn’t be possible without significant price growth combined with leverage in the form of a mortgage. When prices rise 10%, an investor with a £50,000 deposit and 75% loan-to-value mortgage will see a return of 40% on their initial investment, before the costs of servicing a mortgage.”
Where might buy to let investors find the best returns in future?
As with any type of investment, the past cannot be relied on as an indicator of what will happen in the future. However, according to Hamptons International, the North is expected to continue to provide buy to let investors with higher house price growth for the next few years, although Southern areas should soon start to catch up.
“We believe Northern areas will see higher price growth up until 2024 when the house price cycle restarts,” the report said. “This means higher yielding areas will also see more house price growth for the next few years. Then from 2024 we’re expecting price growth across the South of England to once again begin outpacing the North.”
If you’re considering investing in buy to let property, or are thinking about expanding an existing portfolio, it’s vital to think about the reasons you want to do this.
“Someone looking to gradually replace Pay As You Earn income from a full-time job will likely choose to buy a different (i.e. higher yielding) selection of homes compared to the investor seeking to grow a nest egg for their retirement. In the case of the latter, monthly rental income tends to be less important than ensuring the investment beats inflation so the investor can release a cash sum upon retirement,” the report said.
Where to go for more help
Buy to let isn’t something to enter into lightly, especially as a series of tax and regulatory changes have had a big impact on buy to let property owners, adding substantially to their costs.
However, rental properties continue to appeal to those looking for a tangible investment with the potential to provide both income and capital gains. If you’re considering investing in a buy to let property for the first time, you might find our articles Understanding buy to let mortgages, Buy to let: A beginner’s guide, and Is buy to let a good investment? useful.
Want to speak to a mortgage advisor? Speaking to an experienced mortgage advisor can help you to understand your options and get a great deal on your mortgage.
If you’re looking for expert mortgage advice, you can get a free consultation with an independent mortgage adviser at Fidelius. Speak with a qualified, FCA-regulated, independent mortgage adviser you can trust. Rated 4.7/5 on VouchedFor from over 1,250 reviews.
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